Man-made global warming.... biggest myth of this century

Discussion in 'News & Current Affairs' started by Yosef Ha'Kohain, Mar 19, 2007.

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  1. French William

    French William _________________

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    You've got a real chip on your shoulder haven't you :lol:
  2. scruf

    scruf Registered User

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    Re: Man-made global warming.... biggest myth of this century

    Bjorn Cohen Ljomborg...
  3. Oasis

    Oasis Peter North-east

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    People get proper carried away by the all this global warming shite, just because we have a few freak weather disasters and a hot summer. There's points in the earths history that were the same, the worlds temperature fluctuates and it happens quite quickly, an ice age can occur over a few thousand years.

    The oil/gas isn't running out either, there's so much more out there to be drilled, don't panic! Fusion will be the power of the future anyway.

    we're talking years and years before owt bad could happen. If that's the way things go then so be it, maybe it's the fate of the human race. We'll die out and another species will evolve just like we did. Monkeys maybe:wink: :monkey:
  4. French William

    French William _________________

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    Re: Re: Man-made global warming.... biggest myth of this century

    Lomberg even.
  5. B.O.B.

    B.O.B. Registered User

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    :lol: The UK's supplies are in decline (we are already a net importer of gas and have been for the last few years), as they are in most of continental Europe. Only Norway is increasing its production at the moment with the Ormen Lange field starting production in October this year. There is gas and oil elsewhere, but it is becoming more and more expensive to extract as we are tapping more difficult fields, and there is no guarantee that the countries that have it will share anyway. It is a finite resource, and we should be careful with it. It's all very well to say that fusion will be the power of the future, but don't put too much belief in that until we know we can actually do it.
  6. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    The thing is though - we have a current energy 'crisis' in everyones minds, but at the same time we have the means to produce massive amounts of low risk energy (nuclear), with new developments coming on board in the next 20 odd years or less.

    People say we are at 'peak oil' now which means production is going to get progressivelly lower and lower and you would think, if you believed the media - that we are all fucked.

    But - 20/30 years is a long time and whats to say that electric cars wont be the standard then, recycling wont be the norm (for plastics and oil related goods), and power will be generated by realistic, future proof means.

    We've already had companies like GM shelve electric car plans 20 years ago deliberately, and have a variety of renewable energy production means available to us ... but why dont we use them? Probably cause its cheaper to dig fuel out the ground.

    No doubt there'll be an increasing hoo-haa in the future, and oil prices will go up and down in massive swings ... but somehow i think in 100 years time people will look back and laugh about how we all cared so much about fossil fuels.
  7. B.O.B.

    B.O.B. Registered User

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    And how are we going to produce the energy to power these electric cars? At the moment it would be by burning fossil fuels!

    Yes, renewable energy is often more expensive, it is also often unpredictable (think wind and wave generation), takes up a lot of room (which pisses off the nimbys) etc etc. Nuclear generation is great, but there is only a limited amount of nuclear fuel too. It takes at least ten years from planning a nuclear station to it actually generating, not to mention the good old nimby issues.

    With the implementation of the Large Combustion Plant Directive next year, coal fired power stations without flue gas desulphurisation equipment will only be able to run a certain amount of hours per year, we closed two Magnox power stations on 31 December last year, with more nuclear to close in future, and we aren't building enough other power stations to make up the difference at the moment, meaning in the short to medium term there will be a shortage which will cause prices to rise. Hopefully this will encourage new electricity supplies as they will make more sense economically.

    So, energy efficiency is the key!
  8. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    andy that graph clearly shows as fuel consumption went up the temprature dipped... from 1940-1970.
  9. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    Re: Re: Man-made global warming.... biggest myth of this century

    ;)
  10. scruf

    scruf Registered User

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    Re: Re: Re: Man-made global warming.... biggest myth of this century

    Pedant.. I had the Sceptical Environmenalist next to me when I wrote that :oops:

    My take on it is the ice age - inter glacial thing is all fine and well, but how do you offer a plausible explanation for the almost concurrent correlation of rising global temperatures and rising emissions since roughly the begining of the industrial revolution?

    also Joe, I think I'm correct in saying that the conditions that increase temperatures have a significant lag time? so the temparture decreasing may have more to do with reduced fuel consumption / manufacturing from pre WW1 through the post war economic decline and great depression and into WW2 and so on, returning to its rational trajectory in the 50's..

    that almost makes sense if you fiddle with the chronology of the chart.. that aside assumption that this chart will provide an answer to the question is a fairly erroneous assumption as we've already noted fuel consumption is far from the only binding factor...
  11. scruf

    scruf Registered User

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    Think of ths next time you drink soya milk or any soya product presented as being 'eco friendly' or some kind of vegan feted alternative..
  12. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    Thats the slackest correlating set of curves ive ever seen in my near 28 years ... apart from the fact that they start and end at roughly the same point, the middle bits by and large bear little direct relation to each other.
  13. B.O.B.

    B.O.B. Registered User

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    I was talking about palm oil for electricity generation. In terms of land use for food, it takes significantly more land per kg of food produced to produce meat than it does for vegetables.
  14. French William

    French William _________________

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    If you took a straight line average through both sets of data there's fairly close direct correlation.
  15. French William

    French William _________________

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    I think this is a fair guess (red being fuel, blue temperature):

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  16. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    You clearly know nothing about correlation calculations, versus basic trend lines.
  17. scruf

    scruf Registered User

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  18. scruf

    scruf Registered User

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    and I was talking about the fact fron'tier like Soya plantations ravage vast areas of tropical rainforest ala Chipco...

    but if you are talking energy... they then have to be trucked out of the rainforest, and have to be shipped halfway across the world and processed which uses far more energy and produces far more emmissions than a dairy farm in Wales..
  19. French William

    French William _________________

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    Explain then.
  20. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    A Correlation co-efficient isnt calculated by drawing a rough blue and red line through a graph on a clubbers messageboard.

    .... a manky rough trend-line might tho. :king:

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