Who should take tony's job?

Discussion in 'News & Current Affairs' started by Yosef Ha'Kohain, Sep 26, 2006.

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?

next labour leader?

  1. Gordon Brown

    8 vote(s)
    47.1%
  2. John Reid

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Alan Johnson

    1 vote(s)
    5.9%
  4. Alan Milburn

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. John McDonnell

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. David Milliband

    4 vote(s)
    23.5%
  7. Other...

    4 vote(s)
    23.5%
  1. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    Labour will lose the next election - 1 or 2 years of brown being at the head of a ship slowly sinking, and him being unable to weather it like phoney blair did with Iraq and all the other rubbish he has been in the middle of.

    This government was more about a change that people felt they needed after nearly 20 years of the tories, than it has been about anything they have actually DONE that has made much of a difference. Sorry but as far as ive seen, the past 10 years have been a lot of mortgaging of our futures by tony and gordon on the basis that everything will be peaches and cream with no downturns to ever happen. Wishful thinking.

    Im sure some of the more intelligent posters know that i reckon a return to the days of Maggie Thatcher are needed. The UK needs stripping back a bit and some solid foundations rebuilt again to give us a chance over the next 10-20 years .... without any kind of credible manufacturing industry, or social change to bring people down to earth a bit - we are going to lose out big style.

    So .... long answer - but labour obviously will get Gordon Brown as leader ... but it will be a very short premiership.

    Labour is on their way out - Sorry Reds ;)
  2. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    But the Tories aren't talking about reverting back to thatcherism, this country couldn't survive the 5 million unemployed that thatcher brought with her.

    We are no longer in the 80's, we cannot borrow money like America (as we haven't resources to escape such debts), nor can we employ similar monetary tactics to thatcher... instead we must move with the times and David Cameron hasn't shown any sign of doing this.

    It was margret thatcher that ended our manufacturing industries?
  3. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    We have the same 5 million unemployed these days - only today the figures are fudged .... what was the figure again - 2 million on incapacity benefit or something silly. Then all those kids pushed into mickey mouse degree courses running up silly debts.

    Her monetary policy tactics were pretty darn extreme - yep, massive swings in interest rates must have felt like a rollercoaster ride at the time ... but it at least felt more transparent than the lies we have to put up with today.

    This government believes inflation is 2.5% and keeps rates low on the back of that ... the reality is that inflation is more like 10-15% only the true figures are hidden. With that in mind i honestly think a return to Thatcherism and a fear from living the kind of bling bling "ill pay it all off some day" lifestyle that our generation (me included) seem to think we are entitled to .... needs to be put back in us.
  4. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    china and india are in direct competition.

    eventually china will take the skilled economies where as India will take less skilled industries (with the exception of IT).

    neither threaten the British ecnomy.
  5. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    unfortunatly I have a meeting, but when I get back I'm going to pull apart your statistics ;) :p
  6. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    No - she took a country run by inefficient and lazy workers and companies (british leyland etc) and turned us back into a country where we attracted investment from the rest of the world.

    Now all those industries are sending work offshore again since we have lost our edge due to the high cost of employing workers and productivity/innovation dropping.
  7. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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  8. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    on the china tip its first hand experience... i have factories out there....

    but I'll go into it when I get back :D
  9. SeniorChem Si

    SeniorChem Si Registered User

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    you can so tell that you weren't around to experience the 80's 1st hand Brid, if you think things were worse now than they were then.... and where the fuck do you get your figures from?? 15% inflation, 5m unemployed :eek: you're just wrong... you just can't have interest aroudn 5% and inflation at 15%.

    even I'll admit we're reaping the benefits now of some of what maggie did, but if you weren't around in the 80's you've got no idea how fucking horrific it was, and I'll tell you it's been a fucking lot better the last 10 years than it was then.

    You've got a bad case of rose tinted specs when it comes to Thatcher, even the tories these days have turned away from those crazy monaterist policies. We've got some problems to sort out these days... like 1st time buyers being unable to buy houses, and massive personal debt, but thatcherism isn't gonna sort out.

    Here's my prediction, Brown will be next leader, and probably win the next election. Cameron might but only if he can adopt policies to the left of where the labour party is now, and that will schism the tories
  10. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    I cant see how brown will win the next election when the tories would win a general election today on the back of current polls.

    Labour got into power thanks to Tony Blair, and not the labour party itself, how is an uncharismatic leader going to recover their losses and push them through a new election.

    My comments about inflation ... well its hard to see how prices are rising by only 2.5% per year when energy costs, transport costs ... in fact MOST COSTS are going up at worrying double digit amounts. Council tax and house prices are going up at hyper inflationary rates, yet the government ignores these and bases their calculations on things like ipods and chinese dvd players.

    If you took the REAL things that people spend their money on and measure inflation on that, you would see figures of 10-15% and thats even with the economy slowing down in the past year. The situation is out of hand and rather than have a government that isnt afraid to nip it in the bud like thatchers government (at the expense of popularity of course), we have one that tells us we have never had it so good instead .... and the masses believe it.

    Everyone knows that their money isnt going as far as it used to, but we've been conditioned to think that owning a mobile phone or a plasma telly on tick means we havent got a right to argue about it.

    I lived in the north east for 22 years, and with parents who had to put up with near bankruptsy due to changes in the economy, and with the effects of interest rates.... as well as all the social problems that came with unemployment in the north. True i wasnt a bread winner at that point but i dont get all dewy eyed when i read about it - it just sounds like a far more honest day and age than what we have right now.
  11. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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  12. SeniorChem Si

    SeniorChem Si Registered User

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    you're wrong on pretty much all of that.

    Cameron's still in his honeymoon while labour have had their worst 12 months for a long time. 4-6% behind mid term is fuck all... your beloved maggie came back from a lot more than that regularly

    Brown would have won just as easily in '97 as Blair did, and would probably have been the better prime minister as well, and I don't reckon his lack of charisma is going to be much of a problem given his track record. Take out the last 6 months, which have been extraordinary to say the least, and his aproval ratings have been pretty solid. I can't think of a single senior politician in living memory who's been as well liked as brown and for as long!

    All cameron has shown at the minute is charisma, all he's offering is "not labour" but he's being a complete blair clone about it :spangled: I think in the next 2 years brown will easily show him up as a bit of a lightweight, with a fairly light shadow cabinet behind him. brown's got a lot of substance but fuck all style, cameron's the exact opposite, but these days I think ppl will prefer the former.

    fact is blair is a massive electoral liability, he only won last time cos the tories and libdems were so shit, take blair out and give brown 2 or 3 years to get over it and he's got a much better chance than most ppl reckon of beating cameron.

    All you gotta do is check out how much the right wing media is laying into him... cos they know he's the only one in the labour party who can keep the tories out next time. simple as
  13. forks

    forks still not dead

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    I agree with Si about the 80's but Campbell scares me. I can see people falling for it (him)
    oppositions don't win they say, governments lose.
    Loads of people hate Tony Blair for Iraq and brown hasn't distanced himself from that.
    All Cameron has to do is keep mouthing platitudes and let the government keep making mistakes (ID cards) (NHS privatisation) (Afghanistan) and he could get in.
    Anyone under 25 is not going to know what the Tories are really about. All they have known is Labour
  14. SeniorChem Si

    SeniorChem Si Registered User

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    cos all he's doing is talking the talk at the minute, he's just pushing all the right butons, which is a piece of piss for any half decent politician. When he comes to having to come up with hard policies he could turn into the emporer with no clothes, specially as they'll be policies that the right of his party won't like much, and the tory right has got a lot more bite than the labour left.

    example, he was on Today a while ago saying it was crazy we still make cars that do 12mph, which it is, but when he was asked if he'd outlaw it he had nothing to say. I just don't think he's gonna be able to come up with the hard policies to backup all the nice sounding mood music he's been happy to spew for the last 12 months.

    On Iraq I've only ever heard brown say once publicly that he supported the war, and though he did support it he's kept as far from it as possible. ID cards have died for at least this parliament, but basically a lot of the fundamentals are still right, specially the economics which brown gets credit for. there still seems to be a lot of prosperity floating around,and we all know people vote with their pockets.

    Cameron's doing all the right things now, but opposition's a piece of piss and he's still a long way from No 10 imho
  15. forks

    forks still not dead

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    as far as I know Tony still says ID cards are on for this parliament?
  16. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    What politicians dont push all the right buttons before an election.

    Remember the glory days of 'new labour' when everyone though tony and co would change the country for the better ..... everyone thought we now had some 'cool' people in power.

    What happened?

    Oh yeah they stopped grants, introduced fees .... Kept increasing taxes .... sold most of our gold reserves .... got rid of our EU rebate .... presided over a horrific immigration mess up .... the millenium dome .... robbed the pensions .... doubled NHS spending and watched things get worse ... Lied about iraq .... had just as many corrupt politicians as the tories ever did .... went back on their promises .... kept the public out of referendums on issues they knew would go the opposite way to what they really wanted.

    I dont think the current tories do it for me personally - cameron is probably the best they have had yet, but he still smacks a bit of how tony blair wriggled his way into power.

    Tories or Labor aside, i'd like a return to some kind of honest, gritty politics into the UK .... no more marketing and spin please
  17. SeniorChem Si

    SeniorChem Si Registered User

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    well that's not exactly true is it now!

    remember neil hamilton, jeffrey archer, and jonathan aitken???
  18. BRID

    BRID Has name in red. Staff

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    mandelson, prescott, cherie, ruth kelly, byers, the guy with the walking stick and the dog, .... and a whole load more.

    Howay - JUST as corrupt!
  19. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    I believe it comes down to governmental structures, the control and advanced nature of Chinese infrastructure allows it to grow at a phenomenal rate... While India is progressing it is not able to compete on the same level as china and wouldn't be able to without radical reforms.
  20. Yosef Ha'Kohain

    Yosef Ha'Kohain Registered User

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    :lol: :lol: :lol:

    archer: perjury, insider trading, prostition, theft and fraud
    hamilton: sleaze and corruption
    aitken: perjury and illegal arms dealings

    not quite in the same league!

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